milwaukee brewers December 6th, 2010
Before I could finish my "What are they gonna do?" series, the Brewers went ahead and actually did something. Trading their top prospect, Brett Lawrie, to the Toronto Blue Jays for a proven starter in Shaun Marcum. This is a good trade for the Brewers and the trade is universally liked by experts, insiders and fans.
Shaun Marcum was basically the #1 starter for Toronto last season going 13-8 with a 3.64 ERA and, even better, a 3.74 FIP (a pitching statistic that takes defense out of the equation) shows that ERA is close to his true talent level. He's going to fit in nicely behind Gallardo and Wolf can move to a more natural spot behind him. It's going to be awesome. Everything falls into place. Brewers win the pennant.
Can you tell I like this deal? Here's four things you should know to like it too:
- Marcum averaged more strikeouts per 9 innings (7.60 to 7.40) and less walks per 9 innings (1.98 to 2.25) than everyone's favorite trade target this winter, Zack Greinke. (h/t Brewers Bar)
- Marcum versus non-BOS/TB/NYY: 2.74 ERA, 6.1IP/start, 8.0k/9, 2.0 bb/9, 0.9hr/9, 1.08 WHIP in 21 starts. (h/t Al's)
- If you put Marcum on last year's team he would have been the second most valuable pitcher on the team.
- Unlike all the people who take less money to sign with perennial contenders or California teams, Marcum is from the Midwest and might be convinced to sign long-term.
And he gives great beard!
Get excited! I have a total Marcumer right now.
As for Brett Lawrie the Brewers are losing their best offensive prospect which sucks, but on the bright side some scouts see him not fitting in the infield and needing a move to the outfield. If they are correct his value is much lower as a corner outfielder as compared to a second baseman. (I don't know, that's just what they tell me.) He should be a good offensive player someday and we'll miss that bat one day. That being said, I couldn't be happier to see him go because Brett Lawrie seems like a douchebag. Read the rest of this entry »
What are the Brewers going to do this offseason? Who knows? Doug Melvin has seemed non-committal whenever he's asked about anything and nobody else is talking. Prince Fielder is yet to be traded. Rickie Weeks is yet to be re-signed. Eric Hinske chose the Braves over the Brewers. The Braves! What does it all mean? Did the top stop spinning at the end?
I don't claim to know what they are going to do or even what they could do, but I can idly speculate. That's why we're bringing you the series: What are they gonna do?
Doing nothing is what it has felt like the Brewers have done since CC Sabathia left. Sure, some of the players have changed, but the team has been basically the same. Seth McClung turned into Todd Coffey. Dave Bush turned into Dave Bush. JJ Hardy turned into Alcides Escobar. Mike Cameron turned into Casey McGehee. My 36 waist turned into a 38. The improvements have been minimal, if not non-existent, and the team has remained basically the same.
Of course, we are basically talking about two seasons here. Two seasons that were littered with bad luck, two seasons that might have gone better if pitchers could have hit their projections and two seasons where they didn't come close. Braden Looper had probably the worst season of his career. Manny Parra somehow managed to get worse at baseball, but somehow handsomer. Jeff Suppan was born. The only contribution Doug Davis brought to the team was looking like a douchebag. These weren't the best teams ever fielded, but they weren't as bad as they ended up. They should have been better. So maybe it's time for luck to be on the Brewers side. Maybe it's time to do nothing.
What would a "do nothing" team look like? Read the rest of this entry »